DFS Picks Week 15: Values and Sleepers to Target

DFS Sleepers week 15 John Brown touchdown

When building your DFS rosters, it’s all about setting your core…then diversifying.  Find some value…then sprinkle in some sleepers.  Next thing you know – you will have yourself a profitable week.

OWR helps identify these players by crunching the numbers on a weekly basis.  Various stats and rankings are measured to determine the best daily fantasy players/lineups to start.

When analyzing Week 15, here are some core DFS players to target for GPP tourneys, and some value plays and DFS sleepers to add to your lineups for diversification.

Quarterbacks:

Matthew Stafford $7800 (core):

  • Road game at New Orleans, who ranks #1 in allowing points to opposing QBs
  • In their last 3 home games, New Orleans has allowed 35+ points to opposing QBs
  • Game flow could be huge factor in allowing Stafford for big fantasy points (50+ attempts possible)
  • Ownership should be around 15-18% for most GPP tourneys
  • At $7800 salary, he ranks #1 for QBs in Salary/project points

T.J. Yates $6000 (value):

  • At a $6K salary, Yates could provide nice value in Week 15
  • Faces a Colts defense, who is playing uninspired football…
  • Last 5 weeks, Colts rank #2 in allowing most points to opposing QBs (28.3 pts per game)
  • Game flow could be interesting in this one…wild type of game could ensue…
  • IND vs HOU ranks #2 in combined defensive fantasy points allowed per game (154.7 point per game total)

Running Back:

Lamar Miller $6700 (core):

  • Faces San Diego on the road, who is allowing 4th most points to opposing RBs
  • Game flow could be in favor plenty of fantasy points, both defenses allow 75+ fantasy points per game
  • Could see low ownership (3-5%)…
  • But due to midweek injury news (will start and receive 20+ touches)

James Starks $5800 (value, sleeper):

  • James has carved out a key role in the Green Bay offense…
  • Last 2 weeks, he is only Packer player providing explosive plays
  • Faces Oakland, who is middle of pack vs. RBs (18.2 points allowed per)…
  • But Starks will be heavily involved in screen game, catching 4+ balls
  • At 2-4% ownership, a big game by Starks will create deviation from the field.

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Wide Receivers:

Jeremy Maclin $6700 (core, value):

  • Faces Baltimore, the #1 ranked defense in WR points allowed (29.5 per)
  • Last 5 weeks, Ravens have allowed 10 TDs to opposing wide receivers
  • Maclin is the main target in Kansas City offense…he will receive 7+ targets
  • With little resistance, expect Maclin to have a solid 15-20 point output.

John Brown $6300 (sleeper):

  • Fitzgerald, Floyd or Brown…take your pick versus Philly, who will give up 2+ TD in the air on Sunday night…
  • In their last 5, Philly is allowing 28.8 points to opposing WR (#5th most)
  • Brown is our choice…he is the type of ‘take the top’ off WR who the Eagles struggle with.
  • Looks might be 5-6 range, but 1 or 2 could be 40+ yard big plays.

Tight Ends:

Jacob Tamme $5100 (sleeper, value):

  • Jacksonville has been absolutely horrible against opposing tight ends…
  • Last 5 games, Jax is allowing 15.9 points per game, #1 allowed in the league
  • Any talented TE they have faces has score 10+ points (Delanie, Gates, Delanie again, Maxx Williams…you get the points)
  • Julio Jones will see double all day, leaving the middle of the field open for Tamme
  • Expect Tamme to be in the game plan, and for Matt Ryan will look his way often

Defense:

Jacksonville Jaguars $4400 (sleeper, core):

  • Big time sleeper alert here…
  • Jacksonville has quietly put up several big defensive games, latest being a 3 TD barrage against the Colts in week 14…
  • Faces Atlanta (at home) in Week 15…
  • Atlanta sounds like a scary opponent, but in the last 4 weeks they have allowed defenses to flourish…
  • Matt Ryan has been the main culprit, committing 7 INTs to 5 TDs in his last 4 games
  • Due to game-flow, Jaguars do come with risk (possible high scoring affair)…
  • But Consider JAX Defense a high risk reward in Sunday’s GPP tourneys

Kicker:

Mason Crosby $4800 (core):

  • Be sure to get Mason Crosby as a core part of your GPP lineups…
  • He faces an decent “bend, don’t break” Oakland defense
  • Oakland currently ranks #1 in allowing 9.9 points to opposing kickers
  • In terms of game flow – Expect Green Bay to move the football, but stall out 2-3 times inside Oakland’s territory, giving Mason several tries.